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Qual 342016 Orange County Regional
Red72
143819.2
432232.9
581030.3
Blue45
416118.5
347023.1
510021.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686201001502002503007245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#9
32.90.5
27.4→27.9
Auto5.8
Teleop21.1
End6.0
red by 9.8
3470
#10
23.11.1
24.3→23.2
Auto6.2
Teleop13.4
End3.5
Second
5810
#8
30.30.8
20.9→21.7
Auto6.9
Teleop19.0
End4.4
red by 8.7
5100
#23
21.61.8
20.2→18.4
Auto6.3
Teleop10.4
End4.9
Third
1438
#19
19.20.8
16.5→17.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9
red by 0.6
4161
#27
18.51.8
16.8→15.0
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed