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Red55
563420.1
58923.4
622018.7
Blue85
447027.7
420136.7
411417.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587202040801001201405585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
589
#20
23.40.2
19.219.0
Auto10.3
Teleop9.4
End3.8
blue by 13.2
36.71.2
32.433.5
Auto9.2
Teleop22.4
End5.1
Second
5634
#31
20.10.4
21.521.2
Auto6.9
Teleop9.9
End3.3
blue by 7.5
4470
#13
27.71.9
23.025.0
Auto8.4
Teleop14.9
End4.3
Third
6220
#34
18.70.4
17.617.2
Auto6.3
Teleop10.1
End2.3
red by 1.6
4114
#29
17.11.9
12.214.1
Auto6.8
Teleop8.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed