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Red50
607218.6
461924.5
550011.3
Blue84
581726.2
183637.6
248914.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528202040601001201405084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4619
#38
24.50.3
24.123.8
Auto8.2
Teleop12.2
End4.2
blue by 13.1
37.61.1
28.327.2
Auto11.6
Teleop21.5
End4.5
Second
6072
#41
18.60.5
17.717.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End1.7
blue by 7.6
5817
#21
26.21.1
28.727.7
Auto8.0
Teleop15.7
End2.4
Third
5500
#42
11.30.5
13.012.4
Auto1.6
Teleop7.7
End2.0
blue by 3.1
2489
#37
14.41.8
17.916.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed