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Red104
397036.6
432232.9
411417.1
Blue98
347649.1
248914.4
347329.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7491406010012014016010498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.6
32.633.2
Auto7.2
Teleop22.5
End6.9
blue by 12.5
49.10.8
43.844.6
Auto12.6
Teleop31.8
End4.7
Second
32.90.6
30.230.8
Auto5.8
Teleop21.1
End6.0
red by 3.2
3473
#11
29.70.8
28.529.3
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End4.4
Third
4114
#29
17.11.0
11.712.7
Auto6.8
Teleop8.0
End2.4
red by 2.7
2489
#37
14.41.2
13.715.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed