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Red95
416118.5
397036.6
606921.2
Blue47
345323.4
622018.7
607218.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7764020401001201409547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.61.5
34.936.4
Auto7.2
Teleop22.5
End6.9
red by 13.2
3453
#16
23.41.4
24.723.3
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End3.6
Second
6069
#26
21.21.8
20.822.7
Auto4.1
Teleop13.1
End4.0
red by 2.5
6220
#34
18.71.4
21.119.7
Auto6.3
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Third
4161
#27
18.51.8
16.918.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End1.6
blue by 0.1
6072
#41
18.61.5
18.617.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed