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Red113
58923.4
612323.6
347649.1
Blue63
347329.7
581726.2
499925.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9385406010012014016011363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.11.6
46.247.8
Auto12.6
Teleop31.8
End4.7
red by 19.4
3473
#11
29.71.4
29.728.3
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End4.4
Second
6123
#14
23.61.9
21.423.3
Auto2.9
Teleop16.2
End4.5
blue by 2.6
5817
#21
26.21.4
28.026.6
Auto8.0
Teleop15.7
End2.4
Third
589
#20
23.41.6
21.923.4
Auto10.3
Teleop9.4
End3.8
blue by 1.5
4999
#32
25.01.4
26.425.0
Auto3.1
Teleop18.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed