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Red75
607218.6
29438.1
411417.1
Blue89
512439.5
276120.4
420136.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681060501507589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#7
38.10.2
38.238.4
Auto7.8
Teleop25.1
End5.2
blue by 1.4
39.50.6
38.938.3
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End5.8
Second
6072
#41
18.60.2
17.017.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End1.7
blue by 18.0
36.70.6
37.536.9
Auto9.2
Teleop22.4
End5.1
Third
4114
#29
17.10.2
16.917.1
Auto6.8
Teleop8.0
End2.4
blue by 3.2
2761
#18
20.40.6
21.320.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsMissed94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed