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Red99
405621.6
587720.8
397036.6
Blue123
183637.6
588622.3
347329.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778620406010012014016099123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.61.2
36.437.6
Auto7.2
Teleop22.5
End6.9
blue by 1.0
37.62.4
34.036.4
Auto11.6
Teleop21.5
End4.5
Second
4056
#30
21.61.3
20.221.6
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End3.8
blue by 8.2
3473
#11
29.72.4
28.330.7
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End4.4
Third
5877
#25
20.81.3
19.520.8
Auto5.2
Teleop12.8
End2.8
blue by 1.5
5886
#28
22.32.7
19.622.3
Auto8.1
Teleop11.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned