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Red92
499925.0
432232.9
345323.4
Blue84
407924.6
581726.2
461924.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85770501001502002509284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.4
32.933.3
Auto5.8
Teleop21.1
End6.0
red by 6.7
5817
#21
26.20.2
26.626.7
Auto8.0
Teleop15.7
End2.4
Second
4999
#32
25.00.4
25.025.3
Auto3.1
Teleop18.2
End3.7
red by 0.4
4079
#17
24.60.2
24.424.6
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End3.2
Third
3453
#16
23.40.4
23.323.8
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End3.6
blue by 1.1
4619
#38
24.50.2
25.325.5
Auto8.2
Teleop12.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed