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Red175
330950.1
347649.1
622018.7
Blue102
347329.7
397036.6
461924.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15210850200250175102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.10.2
51.051.2
Auto14.1
Teleop29.3
End6.7
red by 13.5
36.60.5
37.236.8
Auto7.2
Teleop22.5
End6.9
Second
49.10.2
50.050.2
Auto12.6
Teleop31.8
End4.7
red by 19.4
3473
#11
29.70.5
30.429.9
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End4.4
Third
6220
#34
18.70.2
19.619.8
Auto6.3
Teleop10.1
End2.3
blue by 5.8
4619
#38
24.50.5
25.124.7
Auto8.2
Teleop12.2
End4.2