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Semifinal 1-22016 Orange County Regional
Red127
330950.1
347649.1
622018.7
Blue103
347329.7
397036.6
461924.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15310650200250127103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#2
50.10.4
51.2→50.7
Auto14.1
Teleop29.3
End6.7
red by 13.5
3970
#6
36.60.2
36.8→36.6
Auto7.2
Teleop22.5
End6.9
Second
3476
#1
49.10.4
50.2→49.7
Auto12.6
Teleop31.8
End4.7
red by 19.4
3473
#11
29.70.2
29.9→29.7
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End4.4
Third
6220
#34
18.70.4
19.8→19.4
Auto6.3
Teleop10.1
End2.3
blue by 5.8
4619
#38
24.50.2
24.7→24.5
Auto8.2
Teleop12.2
End4.2