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Red124
512439.5
183637.6
607218.6
Blue91
29438.1
420136.7
612323.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091275010015020012491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.2
38.939.2
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End5.8
red by 1.4
294
#7
38.10.7
39.238.5
Auto7.8
Teleop25.1
End5.2
Second
37.60.2
37.037.2
Auto11.6
Teleop21.5
End4.5
red by 0.9
36.70.7
37.837.1
Auto9.2
Teleop22.4
End5.1
Third
6072
#41
18.60.2
18.018.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End1.7
blue by 5.0
6123
#14
23.60.7
24.724.0
Auto2.9
Teleop16.2
End4.5