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Quarterfinal 2-22016 Orange County Regional
Red143
347329.7
397036.6
461924.5
Blue104
432232.9
581030.3
499925.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161106080100140160180143104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#6
36.60.0
37.5→37.5
Auto7.2
Teleop22.5
End6.9
red by 3.7
4322
#9
32.90.2
33.2→32.9
Auto5.8
Teleop21.1
End6.0
Second
3473
#11
29.70.0
30.7→30.6
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End4.4
blue by 0.6
5810
#8
30.30.2
30.6→30.4
Auto6.9
Teleop19.0
End4.4
Third
4619
#38
24.50.0
25.4→25.4
Auto8.2
Teleop12.2
End4.2
blue by 0.5
4999
#32
25.00.2
25.2→25.0
Auto3.1
Teleop18.2
End3.7