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Red192
205249.5
212251.3
353842.8
Blue132
102453.4
23336.1
589546.3
54%Model gave it46%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186185140160170180190200192132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.30.0
51.451.3
Auto13.9
Teleop26.4
End11.0
blue by 2.1
53.40.6
54.053.4
Auto13.6
Teleop35.1
End4.7
Second
49.50.0
49.549.5
Auto14.0
Teleop27.8
End7.7
red by 3.2
46.30.6
46.846.3
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End6.0
Third
3538
#43
42.80.0
42.842.8
Auto12.1
Teleop26.8
End3.8
red by 6.7
233
#41
36.10.6
36.736.1
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End7.1