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Quarterfinal 1-12016 Carson Division
Red212
61051.8
97351.7
31942.1
Blue154
277150.3
557227.6
382448.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204147100250212154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#12
51.80.3
52.0→52.4
Auto9.3
Teleop31.3
End11.2
red by 1.5
2771
#26
50.30.3
50.8→50.5
Auto14.9
Teleop28.4
End7.0
Second
973
#1
51.70.3
51.9→52.3
Auto18.3
Teleop25.8
End7.6
red by 2.8
3824
#47
48.90.3
49.4→49.1
Auto15.9
Teleop27.7
End5.4
Third
319
#20
42.10.3
42.6→42.9
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End6.6
red by 14.5
5572
#63
27.60.3
27.9→27.6
Auto2.7
Teleop15.5
End9.4