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Qual 1252016 Carson Division
Red127
13546.3
52546.2
244525.7
Blue131
277150.3
368843.5
162541.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11414550100200127131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#49
46.30.5
44.4→44.9
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End7.9
blue by 4.0
2771
#26
50.30.4
51.2→50.8
Auto14.9
Teleop28.4
End7.0
Second
525
#33
46.20.5
45.4→45.9
Auto16.4
Teleop22.0
End7.8
red by 2.8
3688
#39
43.50.4
43.9→43.5
Auto12.2
Teleop27.0
End4.3
Third
2445
#36
25.70.5
25.2→25.7
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End3.4
blue by 15.5
1625
#53
41.20.4
41.6→41.2
Auto12.0
Teleop20.7
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsEarned79%Capture oddsEarned