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Quarterfinal 1-22016 Carson Division
Red210
61051.8
97351.7
247443.6
Blue171
277150.3
382448.9
426433.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20016650100150250300350210171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#12
51.80.3
52.452.6
Auto9.3
Teleop31.3
End11.2
red by 1.5
2771
#26
50.30.2
50.550.3
Auto14.9
Teleop28.4
End7.0
Second
973
#1
51.70.3
52.352.5
Auto18.3
Teleop25.8
End7.6
red by 2.8
3824
#47
48.90.2
49.148.9
Auto15.9
Teleop27.7
End5.4
Third
2474
#21
43.60.3
43.343.6
Auto10.6
Teleop27.5
End5.5
red by 9.9
4264
#13
33.70.2
33.833.7
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End5.4