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Semifinal 1-22016 Carson Division
Red145
61051.8
97351.7
31942.1
Blue175
205249.5
212251.3
353842.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191192150160170180200210220145175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#12
51.80.5
52.3→51.8
Auto9.3
Teleop31.3
End11.2
red by 0.5
2122
#5
51.30.3
51.7→51.4
Auto13.9
Teleop26.4
End11.0
Second
973
#1
51.70.5
52.2→51.7
Auto18.3
Teleop25.8
End7.6
red by 2.3
2052
#8
49.50.3
49.8→49.5
Auto14.0
Teleop27.8
End7.7
Third
319
#20
42.10.5
42.6→42.1
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End6.6
blue by 0.7
3538
#43
42.80.3
43.1→42.8
Auto12.1
Teleop26.8
End3.8