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Quarterfinal 2-12016 Carson Division
Red222
205249.5
212251.3
353842.8
Blue217
191851.6
171848.8
13546.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185184160170180190200210220222217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#5
51.30.7
50.4→51.1
Auto13.9
Teleop26.4
End11.0
blue by 0.2
1918
#9
51.60.4
50.1→50.5
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
Second
2052
#8
49.50.7
48.5→49.2
Auto14.0
Teleop27.8
End7.7
red by 0.7
1718
#6
48.80.4
47.3→47.8
Auto10.7
Teleop32.0
End6.1
Third
3538
#43
42.80.7
41.8→42.5
Auto12.1
Teleop26.8
End3.8
blue by 3.5
135
#49
46.30.4
44.9→45.3
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End7.9