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Quarterfinal 2-32016 Carson Division
Red212
205249.5
212251.3
353842.8
Blue205
191851.6
171848.8
13546.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189188160170180200210220212205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#5
51.30.5
51.5→52.0
Auto13.9
Teleop26.4
End11.0
blue by 0.2
1918
#9
51.60.2
51.4→51.6
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
Second
2052
#8
49.50.5
49.6→50.1
Auto14.0
Teleop27.8
End7.7
red by 0.7
1718
#6
48.80.2
48.6→48.8
Auto10.7
Teleop32.0
End6.1
Third
3538
#43
42.80.5
42.9→43.4
Auto12.1
Teleop26.8
End3.8
blue by 3.5
135
#49
46.30.2
46.1→46.3
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End7.9