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Semifinal 2-22016 Carson Division
Red119
335226.5
52546.2
161942.7
Blue185
589546.3
23336.1
102453.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138197050100250300119185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#33
46.20.5
46.7→46.2
Auto16.4
Teleop22.0
End7.8
blue by 7.2
1024
#7
53.40.3
54.8→54.5
Auto13.6
Teleop35.1
End4.7
Second
1619
#11
42.70.5
43.2→42.7
Auto16.2
Teleop21.7
End4.9
blue by 3.5
5895
#4
46.30.3
47.6→47.3
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End6.0
Third
3352
#17
26.50.5
27.0→26.5
Auto5.9
Teleop14.5
End6.2
blue by 9.6
233
#41
36.10.3
37.5→37.1
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End7.1