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Red102
413523.2
115634.9
220230.9
Blue132
198736.6
102453.4
5130.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78135050100150200102132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#61
34.91.2
32.734.0
Auto7.1
Teleop24.7
End3.1
blue by 18.5
53.40.4
55.455.0
Auto13.6
Teleop35.1
End4.7
Second
2202
#52
30.91.2
28.129.3
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End4.4
blue by 5.7
1987
#32
36.60.4
37.537.1
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.2
Third
4135
#62
23.21.2
22.924.2
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End2.3
blue by 7.4
51
#67
30.60.4
29.829.5
Auto11.5
Teleop15.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed62%Capture oddsMissed