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Red95
248640.3
162541.2
516734.1
Blue100
193928.2
247443.6
412124.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128935015095100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#53
41.21.9
43.541.6
Auto12.0
Teleop20.7
End8.5
blue by 2.4
2474
#21
43.60.3
42.542.8
Auto10.6
Teleop27.5
End5.5
Second
2486
#24
40.31.9
40.838.8
Auto10.8
Teleop24.1
End5.4
red by 12.1
1939
#50
28.20.3
28.929.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End5.6
Third
5167
#35
34.11.9
34.933.0
Auto9.6
Teleop19.3
End5.2
red by 10.1
4121
#65
24.00.3
24.124.4
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
66%Capture oddsMissed14%Capture oddsMissed