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Qual 1052016 Carson Division
Red167
602524.9
353842.8
86853.1
Blue124
161942.7
413137.8
545427.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11010990100120130140150167124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#42
53.13.3
48.7→52.0
Auto14.8
Teleop32.3
End6.0
red by 10.4
1619
#11
42.70.8
42.8→43.6
Auto16.2
Teleop21.7
End4.9
Second
3538
#43DQ
42.83.3
37.2→40.5
Auto12.1
Teleop26.8
End3.8
red by 5.0
4131
#44
37.80.8
37.2→38.0
Auto8.2
Teleop23.4
End6.1
Third
6025
#72
24.93.3
21.2→24.5
Auto7.5
Teleop14.3
End3.1
blue by 2.2
5454
#69
27.10.8
26.5→27.3
Auto6.2
Teleop16.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsEarned11%Capture oddsMissed