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Red116
436240.4
23336.1
191851.6
Blue135
382448.9
6028.3
113732.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14310050200116135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.61.4
51.950.4
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
red by 2.6
3824
#47
48.91.4
44.145.5
Auto15.9
Teleop27.7
End5.4
Second
4362
#23
40.41.4
41.039.5
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End7.4
red by 8.1
1137
#14
32.31.4
32.133.5
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End6.5
Third
233
#41
36.11.4
39.738.2
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End7.1
red by 7.8
60
#51
28.31.4
27.328.7
Auto6.9
Teleop17.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
88%Capture oddsMissed14%Capture oddsEarned