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Red61
244525.7
276123.1
590734.6
Blue98
252625.2
459224.6
426433.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions928240601001201401606198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#16
34.61.8
34.933.1
Auto11.9
Teleop17.1
End5.6
red by 0.9
4264
#13
33.71.1
32.934.0
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End5.4
Second
2445
#36
25.71.8
27.025.2
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End3.4
red by 0.4
2526
#56
25.21.1
24.425.5
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.3
Third
2761
#73
23.11.8
25.824.0
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End3.5
blue by 1.5
4592
#60
24.61.1
23.724.8
Auto7.3
Teleop14.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsMissed86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed