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Qual 1122016 Carson Division
Red90
248533.5
571233.2
533232.4
Blue95
335226.5
206747.3
368843.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101127501502009095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#18
33.50.8
34.6→33.8
Auto11.2
Teleop17.3
End5.0
blue by 13.8
2067
#37
47.32.0
45.3→43.3
Auto15.6
Teleop27.5
End4.3
Second
5712
#34
33.20.8
35.3→34.5
Auto10.6
Teleop18.4
End4.3
blue by 10.2
3688
#39
43.52.0
45.8→43.9
Auto12.2
Teleop27.0
End4.3
Third
5332
#64
32.40.8
31.7→30.9
Auto8.2
Teleop20.5
End3.7
red by 5.9
3352
#17
26.52.0
28.8→26.8
Auto5.9
Teleop14.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed53%Capture oddsMissed