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Red68
413523.2
193928.2
276123.1
Blue185
382448.9
609836.6
206747.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7013505010015020068185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#50
28.21.0
29.228.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End5.6
blue by 20.7
3824
#47
48.93.9
45.549.4
Auto15.9
Teleop27.7
End5.4
Second
4135
#62
23.21.0
24.223.2
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End2.3
blue by 24.1
2067
#37
47.33.9
43.347.2
Auto15.6
Teleop27.5
End4.3
Third
2761
#73
23.11.0
24.023.1
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End3.5
blue by 13.5
6098
#54
36.63.9
32.736.6
Auto10.9
Teleop22.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsEarned