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Red98
161942.7
571233.2
113732.3
Blue85
29627.9
402630.6
614425.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121820501001502009885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#11
42.71.2
43.642.4
Auto16.2
Teleop21.7
End4.9
red by 12.1
4026
#48
30.60.4
31.030.6
Auto12.3
Teleop14.9
End3.4
Second
5712
#34
33.21.2
34.533.2
Auto10.6
Teleop18.4
End4.3
red by 5.3
296
#55
27.90.4
28.327.9
Auto9.3
Teleop12.7
End5.9
Third
1137
#14
32.31.2
33.532.3
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End6.5
red by 6.4
6144
#70
25.80.4
26.225.8
Auto9.0
Teleop13.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
77%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed