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Red126
533232.4
153341.0
590734.6
Blue108
299637.0
302131.1
413137.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10611050150126108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#31
41.01.5
39.541.0
Auto6.3
Teleop22.8
End11.9
red by 3.2
4131
#44
37.80.2
38.037.8
Auto8.2
Teleop23.4
End6.1
Second
5907
#16
34.61.5
33.134.6
Auto11.9
Teleop17.1
End5.6
blue by 2.4
2996
#25
37.00.2
37.237.0
Auto8.1
Teleop26.1
End2.8
Third
5332
#64
32.41.5
30.932.4
Auto8.2
Teleop20.5
End3.7
red by 1.4
3021
#71
31.10.2
31.331.1
Auto8.6
Teleop17.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
32%Capture oddsEarned6%Capture oddsMissed