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Red91
368843.5
297818.6
220230.9
Blue125
213742.1
590734.6
402630.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8711405010015020091125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#39
43.50.2
45.045.2
Auto12.2
Teleop27.0
End4.3
red by 1.3
2137
#10
42.10.6
41.442.0
Auto16.7
Teleop19.9
End5.6
Second
2202
#52
30.90.2
31.031.2
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End4.4
blue by 3.7
5907
#16
34.60.6
31.632.2
Auto11.9
Teleop17.1
End5.6
Third
2978
#46
18.60.2
12.112.3
Auto5.9
Teleop10.4
End2.2
blue by 12.1
4026
#48
30.60.6
33.434.0
Auto12.3
Teleop14.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed20%Capture oddsEarned