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Red115
353842.8
533232.4
171848.8
Blue119
212251.3
516734.1
244525.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1149850150200115119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.80.4
41.241.6
Auto10.7
Teleop32.0
End6.1
blue by 2.6
51.31.4
41.843.2
Auto13.9
Teleop26.4
End11.0
Second
3538
#43
42.80.4
34.434.8
Auto12.1
Teleop26.8
End3.8
red by 8.7
5167
#35
34.11.4
34.235.6
Auto9.6
Teleop19.3
End5.2
Third
5332
#64
32.40.4
33.233.6
Auto8.2
Teleop20.5
End3.7
red by 6.8
2445
#36
25.71.4
21.923.3
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
15%Capture oddsMissed37%Capture oddsEarned