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Qual 132016 Carson Division
Red110
426433.7
402846.0
115634.9
Blue131
397040.1
90438.3
508432.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11297050150200110131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#19
46.00.2
44.6→44.8
Auto11.2
Teleop25.9
End8.8
red by 5.9
3970
#45
40.11.6
36.6→38.2
Auto7.8
Teleop25.8
End6.5
Second
1156
#61
34.90.2
34.0→34.2
Auto7.1
Teleop24.7
End3.1
blue by 3.5
904
#30
38.31.6
31.8→33.4
Auto9.8
Teleop16.6
End11.9
Third
4264
#13
33.70.2
28.4→28.7
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End5.4
red by 1.7
5084
#57
32.01.6
28.2→29.8
Auto10.8
Teleop15.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed