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Qual 122016 Carson Division
Red84
29627.9
206747.3
602524.9
Blue124
191851.6
52546.2
115924.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9113205015020084124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#37
47.30.7
43.4→42.6
Auto15.6
Teleop27.5
End4.3
blue by 4.2
1918
#9
51.60.2
49.2→49.0
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
Second
296
#55
27.90.7
30.6→29.9
Auto9.3
Teleop12.7
End5.9
blue by 18.3
525
#33
46.20.2
47.1→46.9
Auto16.4
Teleop22.0
End7.8
Third
6025
#72
24.91.1
21.1→19.9
Auto7.5
Teleop14.3
End3.1
red by 0.5
1159
#66
24.40.3
26.1→25.7
Auto8.7
Teleop11.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsMissed98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed16%Capture oddsMissed