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Qual 112016 Carson Division
Red140
198736.6
161942.7
4144.3
Blue43
136914.2
248640.3
459224.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1297805010015020025014043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41
#15
44.30.8
38.6→39.4
Auto12.4
Teleop27.3
End4.6
red by 3.9
2486
#24
40.32.7
35.2→32.5
Auto10.8
Teleop24.1
End5.4
Second
1619
#11
42.70.8
45.4→46.2
Auto16.2
Teleop21.7
End4.9
red by 18.2
4592
#60
24.62.7
25.9→23.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.5
End2.8
Third
1987
#32
36.60.8
33.8→34.6
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.2
red by 22.4
1369
#75
14.22.7
21.9→19.3
Auto2.3
Teleop10.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
6%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed