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Qual 102016 Carson Division
Red101
382448.9
240337.1
252625.2
Blue110
589546.3
566329.7
571233.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111103406080120140160180101110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#47
48.90.7
49.7→49.0
Auto15.9
Teleop27.7
End5.4
red by 2.7
5895
#4
46.30.6
41.0→41.6
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End6.0
Second
2403
#29
37.10.7
31.2→30.5
Auto7.6
Teleop23.2
End6.3
red by 3.9
5712
#34
33.20.6
36.4→37.0
Auto10.6
Teleop18.4
End4.3
Third
2526
#56
25.20.7
26.2→25.4
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.3
blue by 4.5
5663
#22
29.70.8
23.9→24.7
Auto11.3
Teleop13.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed21%Capture oddsMissed