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Red110
248533.5
259049.3
193928.2
Blue110
402630.6
436240.4
13546.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103135050150200250300110110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.3
Auto12.5
Teleop30.1
End6.7
red by 3.0
135
#49
46.3
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End7.9
Second
2485
#18
33.5
Auto11.2
Teleop17.3
End5.0
blue by 6.9
4362
#23
40.4
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End7.4
Third
1939
#50
28.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End5.6
blue by 2.4
4026
#48
30.6
Auto12.3
Teleop14.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
15%Capture oddsMissed48%Capture oddsMissed