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Red109
614425.8
368843.5
276123.1
Blue162
353842.8
102453.4
247443.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80140050100200250109162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#39
43.50.8
44.145.0
Auto12.2
Teleop27.0
End4.3
blue by 9.9
53.42.0
52.854.7
Auto13.6
Teleop35.1
End4.7
Second
6144
#70
25.80.9
21.822.7
Auto9.0
Teleop13.1
End3.8
blue by 17.7
2474
#21
43.62.0
42.244.2
Auto10.6
Teleop27.5
End5.5
Third
2761
#73
23.10.8
20.421.2
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End3.5
blue by 19.7
3538
#43
42.82.0
32.434.4
Auto12.1
Teleop26.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed64%Capture oddsEarned