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Qual 72016 Carson Division
Red119
74621.2
125833.5
205249.5
Blue79
299637.0
112630.6
244525.7
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1118805010015020011979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#8
49.51.0
44.8→45.8
Auto14.0
Teleop27.8
End7.7
red by 12.5
2996
#25
37.00.7
36.4→35.7
Auto8.1
Teleop26.1
End2.8
Second
1258
#40
33.51.0
35.6→36.6
Auto11.6
Teleop16.3
End5.7
red by 2.9
1126
#28
30.60.7
30.3→29.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
Third
746
#58
21.21.4
23.9→25.3
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End2.8
blue by 4.5
2445
#36
25.70.7
22.6→21.9
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed