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Qual 202016 Carson Division
Red109
302131.1
397040.1
205249.5
Blue117
191851.6
609836.6
247443.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221310200300400500600700800109117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#8
49.50.7
45.8→45.1
Auto14.0
Teleop27.8
End7.7
blue by 2.1
1918
#9
51.61.3
49.0→47.7
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
Second
3970
#45
40.10.7
38.2→37.5
Auto7.8
Teleop25.8
End6.5
blue by 3.4
2474
#21
43.61.3
44.2→42.9
Auto10.6
Teleop27.5
End5.5
Third
3021
#71
31.10.7
36.2→35.4
Auto8.6
Teleop17.8
End4.7
blue by 5.5
6098
#54
36.61.3
33.2→31.9
Auto10.9
Teleop22.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsMissed97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed59%Capture oddsMissed