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Qual 212016 Carson Division
Red93
153341.0
29627.9
31942.1
Blue109
248640.3
545427.1
591323.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1207505010015020093109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#20
42.11.5
42.1→40.6
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End6.6
red by 1.8
2486
#24
40.31.6
32.5→34.1
Auto10.8
Teleop24.1
End5.4
Second
1533
#31
41.01.5
38.2→36.8
Auto6.3
Teleop22.8
End11.9
red by 13.8
5454
#69
27.11.6
28.2→29.8
Auto6.2
Teleop16.1
End4.8
Third
296
#55
27.91.5
29.9→28.4
Auto9.3
Teleop12.7
End5.9
red by 4.2
5913
#38
23.72.2
19.0→21.1
Auto6.0
Teleop15.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
70%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed