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Red104
113732.3
252625.2
52546.2
Blue130
22556.5
402846.0
248533.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10213550150200104130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#33
46.20.3
46.946.6
Auto16.4
Teleop22.0
End7.8
blue by 10.3
225
#3
56.50.3
52.152.3
Auto17.1
Teleop31.0
End8.4
Second
1137
#14
32.30.3
31.831.5
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End6.5
blue by 13.7
4028
#19
46.00.3
44.845.1
Auto11.2
Teleop25.9
End8.8
Third
2526
#56
25.20.3
25.425.1
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.3
blue by 8.3
2485
#18
33.50.3
29.329.5
Auto11.2
Teleop17.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsEarned