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Qual 232016 Carson Division
Red99
335226.5
259049.3
413523.2
Blue120
112630.6
161942.7
23336.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9011905015020099120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#2
49.30.1
43.1→43.2
Auto12.5
Teleop30.1
End6.7
red by 6.5
1619
#11
42.70.5
46.2→46.7
Auto16.2
Teleop21.7
End4.9
Second
3352
#17
26.50.1
26.5→26.6
Auto5.9
Teleop14.5
End6.2
blue by 9.6
233
#41
36.10.5
36.1→36.6
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End7.1
Third
4135
#62
23.20.1
22.4→22.6
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End2.3
blue by 7.4
1126
#28
30.60.5
29.6→30.2
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed29%Capture oddsEarned