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Qual 242016 Carson Division
Red102
614425.8
277150.3
566329.7
Blue95
136914.2
6028.3
125833.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1098105010015010295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#26
50.30.0
54.7→54.7
Auto14.9
Teleop28.4
End7.0
red by 16.8
1258
#40
33.50.5
36.6→37.1
Auto11.6
Teleop16.3
End5.7
Second
5663
#22
29.70.0
24.7→24.6
Auto11.3
Teleop13.7
End4.7
red by 1.4
60
#51
28.30.5
26.7→27.2
Auto6.9
Teleop17.1
End4.3
Third
6144
#70
25.80.0
22.7→22.7
Auto9.0
Teleop13.1
End3.8
red by 11.6
1369
#75
14.20.5
19.3→19.8
Auto2.3
Teleop10.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsMissed88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed