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Qual 292016 Carson Division
Red122
52546.2
61051.8
220230.9
Blue104
533232.4
265536.0
609836.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13793050150200122104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#12
51.80.6
48.6→48.0
Auto9.3
Teleop31.3
End11.2
red by 15.3
6098
#54
36.60.2
31.9→31.7
Auto10.9
Teleop22.2
End3.6
Second
525
#33
46.20.6
46.6→45.9
Auto16.4
Teleop22.0
End7.8
red by 10.2
2655
#27
36.00.2
31.5→31.3
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
Third
2202
#52
30.90.6
31.2→30.6
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End4.4
blue by 1.5
5332
#64
32.40.2
33.6→33.4
Auto8.2
Teleop20.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
25%Capture oddsMissed15%Capture oddsMissed