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Qual 302016 Carson Division
Red86
402630.6
591323.7
206747.3
Blue142
23336.1
426433.7
589546.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10011405015020025086142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#37
47.31.2
43.8→42.6
Auto15.6
Teleop27.5
End4.3
red by 1.1
5895
#4
46.31.9
42.4→44.3
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End6.0
Second
4026
#48
30.61.2
34.0→32.8
Auto12.3
Teleop14.9
End3.4
blue by 5.5
233
#41
36.11.9
36.6→38.5
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End7.1
Third
5913
#38
23.71.5
21.1→19.7
Auto6.0
Teleop15.0
End2.7
blue by 10.0
4264
#13
33.71.9
30.0→31.8
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsMissed94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed57%Capture oddsEarned