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Red92
545427.1
368843.5
589721.7
Blue127
413523.2
22556.5
436240.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9313005015020025092127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#39
43.50.6
45.244.6
Auto12.2
Teleop27.0
End4.3
blue by 13.0
225
#3
56.50.1
52.352.4
Auto17.1
Teleop31.0
End8.4
Second
5454
#69
27.10.6
29.829.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.1
End4.8
blue by 13.3
4362
#23
40.40.1
45.845.9
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End7.4
Third
5897
#68
21.70.6
21.120.5
Auto8.5
Teleop10.0
End3.2
blue by 1.5
4135
#62
23.20.1
22.622.7
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed29%Capture oddsEarned