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Red99
90438.3
557227.6
516734.1
Blue111
590734.6
335226.5
61051.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9511205015020099111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#30
38.30.1
31.831.8
Auto9.8
Teleop16.6
End11.9
blue by 13.5
610
#12
51.80.3
48.949.2
Auto9.3
Teleop31.3
End11.2
Second
5167
#35
34.10.1
34.234.2
Auto9.6
Teleop19.3
End5.2
blue by 0.5
5907
#16
34.60.3
31.331.6
Auto11.9
Teleop17.1
End5.6
Third
5572
#63
27.60.1
28.928.8
Auto2.7
Teleop15.5
End9.4
red by 1.1
3352
#17
26.50.3
26.226.5
Auto5.9
Teleop14.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed21%Capture oddsEarned