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Qual 42016 Carson Division
Red99
86853.1
413523.2
31942.1
Blue101
113732.3
265536.0
277150.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11313005010015020025099101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#42
53.10.9
45.8→45.0
Auto14.8
Teleop32.3
End6.0
red by 2.8
2771
#26
50.31.9
56.6→54.7
Auto14.9
Teleop28.4
End7.0
Second
319
#20
42.10.9
43.0→42.1
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End6.6
red by 6.1
2655
#27
36.01.9
33.8→31.9
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
Third
4135
#62
23.20.9
23.3→22.4
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End2.3
blue by 9.1
1137
#14
32.31.9
33.7→31.8
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
79%Capture oddsMissed94%Capture oddsMissed