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Red81
591323.7
412124.0
302131.1
Blue56
587919.0
1127.8
220230.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81806070901001108156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3021
#71
31.10.1
36.336.2
Auto8.6
Teleop17.8
End4.7
red by 0.1
2202
#52
30.91.9
32.931.0
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End4.4
Second
4121
#65
24.00.2
22.422.2
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.1
blue by 3.8
11
#59
27.81.9
32.830.9
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Third
5913
#38
23.70.2
19.119.0
Auto6.0
Teleop15.0
End2.7
red by 4.7
5879
#74DQ
19.01.9
13.511.6
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed